Lecture
Einstein Circle Lecture | Nan van Geloven
Wie können Vorhersagemodelle die klinische Entscheidungsfindung unterstützen, wenn die Behandlungseffekte bereits in den Daten enthalten sind, die zu ihrer Entwicklung verwendet wurden? In diesem Vortrag stellt Nan van Geloven, Professorin für Biostatistik, Leiden University Medical Center, Niederlande, aktuelle Ansätze zur kausalen Inferenz und zur Vorhersage unter Interventionen vor, darunter eine reale Anwendung aus der neonatologischen Intensivmedizin.
Language
This page is only available in English.
Info
As part of her visit to the Einstein Circle Workshop on Causal Inference from Observational Health Data, Nan van Geloven will deliver this public lecture at the Berlin Institute of Health at Charité (BIH). While the workshop itself is held in a closed format, this lecture is open to members of the Charité/BIH community.
The lecture will take place at the Spreepalais and is hosted by Dr. Jessica Rohmann, Head of the Einstein Circle on Causal Inference from Observational Health Data and the Responsible Health Data Analysis Team at the BIH-QUEST Center for Responsible Research.
Einstein Circle Lecture
“(The Lack of) Causal Inference in Prediction Models”
A key aim of prediction models is to provide individualized risk estimates that guide treatment choices. Most prediction models, however, are derived from observational data that include some individuals who have already received the treatment that the model is meant to inform. The causal effects of these earlier treatments blur the interpretation of regular prediction models, making them unfit for decision support.
An alternative approach that recently gained traction is to estimate risks under specific (hypothetical) treatment options, referred to as ‘prediction under interventions’. This approach requires tailored causal inference techniques. In this talk, van Geloven will discuss methods for developing and evaluating models for prediction under interventions, as well as a recent application of these methods at the neonatal intensive care unit.
Info
When
February 19, 2026
3:30 - 5:00 pm
Where
Berlin Institute of Health at Charité (BIH)
Anna-Louisa-Karsch-Str. 2
Room Atrium
10178 Berlin
& via Zoom
